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the claim

Leicester City winning the Premier League was the most improbable event in betting history.

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
2 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Evidence indicates that Leicester City's Premier League victory at 5,000-1 odds was widely considered the most improbable single event in betting history, resulting in unprecedented payouts.

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Judged against fact-checker rulings and reference works: claims of this kind are settled by the fact-checking record, not journal abstracts.

Evidence for · 2
Recorded source metadata

Wikipedia: Leicester City F.C.. Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leicester_City_F.C.

Reference article covering this claim directly

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More for · 1
Recorded source metadata

skeptics.stackexchange.com: Is Leicester City winning the English Football premiership the most improbable single event in betting history?. skeptics.stackexchange.com. https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/32763/is-leicester-city-winning-the-english-football-premiership-the-most-improbable-s

Mentions several sites described it as the most improbable win in betting history with no previous example.

The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked31 Jul 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 7531 Jul 2026
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