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the claim
Large earthquakes can trigger a domino effect of subsequent earthquakes
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
4 sources for · 0 against

Large earthquakes can indeed trigger subsequent earthquakes through mechanisms such as stress transfer and cascading fault ruptures.

Evidence for · 4
Supershear triggering and cascading fault ruptures of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Türkiye, earthquake doublet
2024 · cited by 149
The study demonstrates how the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquake doublet involved cascading fault ruptures where one large event triggered another.
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The analysis

Papers [1], [3], [4], and [5] provide strong, direct empirical and modeling evidence that large earthquakes trigger subsequent earthquakes through stress transfer and cascading rupture processes. There is no contradictory evidence in the retrieved set.

More for · 3
The Role of Viscoelastic Stress Transfer in Long‐Term Earthquake Cascades: Insights After the Central Italy 2016–2017 Seismic Sequence
2018 · cited by 36
Research on the Central Italy seismic sequence shows that viscoelastic stress transfer can trigger subsequent moderate-to-strong earthquakes over time.
Physical Mechanisms of Earthquake Nucleation and Foreshocks: Cascade Triggering, Aseismic Slip, or Fluid Flows?
2024 · cited by 33
This review highlights elastic stress transfer and cascade triggering as key physical mechanisms for earthquake sequences.
Aftershocks following the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake driven by both stress transfer and afterslip
2023 · cited by 6
The analysis of aftershocks following the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake indicates that earthquake-to-earthquake interactions drive triggered seismicity.
Everything we examined (12)
We also searched for evidence AGAINST this claim, not only for it.
  1. What we have learned from the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake and its aftermath: A decade of research and challengespeer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  2. Supershear triggering and cascading fault ruptures of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Türkiye, earthquake doubletpeer-reviewedsupports
  3. Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system.peer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  4. The Role of Viscoelastic Stress Transfer in Long‐Term Earthquake Cascades: Insights After the Central Italy 2016–2017 Seismic Sequencepeer-reviewedsupports
  5. Physical Mechanisms of Earthquake Nucleation and Foreshocks: Cascade Triggering, Aseismic Slip, or Fluid Flows?peer-reviewedsupports
  6. Aftershocks following the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake driven by both stress transfer and afterslippeer-reviewedsupports
  7. Nowcasting Earthquakes in Southern California with Machine Learning:Bursts, Swarms and Aftershocks May Reveal the Regional Tectonic Stresspeer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  8. Landslide hazard cascades can trigger earthquakes.peer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  9. Earthquake-Induced Landslides in Italy: Evaluation of the Triggering Potential Based on Seismic Hazardpeer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  10. Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa.peer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  11. Environmental Risk Assessment Using Neural Network in Liquefied Petroleum Gas Terminal.peer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  12. Analysis and Prevention and Control System of Domino Accident Risk Data in Chemical Parks Based on Topological Neural Network.peer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked06 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8806 Aug 2026
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