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the claim
Hurricane storm surges are smaller when storms strike small islands
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SUPPORTED
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Peer-reviewed studies and analyses of island coastal dynamics report that small or steep-sided islands with narrow shelves impede the massive piling-up of water, leading to lower storm surge potential compared to mainland locations.

Evidence for · 3
2017 · cited by 28
Abstract. In the Lesser Antilles, coastal inundations from hurricane-induced storm surges pose a great threat to lives, properties and ecosystems. Assessing current and future storm surge hazards with sufficient spatial resolution is of primary interest to help coastal planners and decision makers develop mitigation and adaptation measures. Here, we use wave–current numerical models and statistical methods to investigate worst case scenarios and 100-year surge levels for the case study of Martinique under present climate or considering a potential sea level rise. Results confirm that the wave setup plays a major role in the Lesser Antilles, where the narrow island shelf impedes the piling-up of large amounts of wind-driven water on the shoreline during extreme events. The radiation stress gradients thus contribute significantly to the total surge – up to 100 % in some cases. The nonlinear interactions of sea level rise (SLR) with bathymetry and topography are generally found to be relatively small in Martinique but can reach several tens of centimeters in low-lying areas where the inundation extent is strongly enhanced compared to present conditions. These findings further emphasize the importance of waves for developing operational storm surge warning systems in the Lesser Antilles and encourage caution when using static methods to assess the impact of sea level rise on storm surge hazard.
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rails:sufficiency:supported:for=2+1p:against=0+0p | v55:sufficiency

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Tropical cyclone inundation potential on the Hawaiian Islands of Oahu and Kauai - ScienceDirect Skip to main contentSkip to article - Access through your organization - Purchase PDF Search ScienceDirect ## Ocean Modelling Volumes 52–53, August 2012, Pages 54-68 # Tropical cyclone inundation potential on the Hawaiian Islands of Oahu and Kauai Andrew B. Kennedy a, Joannes J. Westerink a, Jane M. Smith b, Mark E. Hope a, Michael Hartman a, Alexandros A. Taflanidis a, Seizo Tanaka a e, Hans Westerink a, Kwok Fai Cheung c, Tom Smith d, Madeleine Hamann a, Masashi Minamide e, Aina Ota e, Clint Dawson f Show more Add to Mendeley https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.04.009 Get rights and content ### Highlights ► Steep sided volcanic islands show much lower surge potential and much greater runup potential than mainland locations. ► Large portions of southern Oahu may be inundated in a direct hurricane landfall. ► Inundation for the Island of Kauai is largely confined to a narrow coastal strip. ► Very large waves will propagate within a few kilometers of shore during hurricanes in the Hawaiian Islands. ## Introduction Landfalling tropical cyclones are a major source of damagin
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## U.S. IOOS Coastal and Ocean Modeling Testbed: Hurricane-Induced Winds, Waves, and Surge for Deep Ocean, Reef-Fringed Islands in the Caribbean B. R. Joyce1 , J. Gonzalez-Lopez2, A. J. Van der Westhuysen3, D. Yang3, W. J. Pringle1 , J. J. Westerink1, and A. T. Cox4 1Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, USA, 2Wood, E&IS, Met-Ocean Services, Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, Canada, 3IMSG at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/ Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, USA, 4Oceanweather Inc., Stamford, CT, USA Abstract As part of a U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) funded Coastal and Ocean Modeling Testbed (COMT), hindcasts of waves and storm surge for 2017 Hurricanes Irma and Maria are examined and compared to wave and water level gauge data in the vicinity of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The region is characterized by adjacent deep ocean water, narrow shelves, and coral reef systems providing coastal protection. The storm physics are analyzed using an unstructured grid third-generation wave circulation coupled modeling system (ADCIRC+SWAN) with respect to tides, winds, atmospheric pressure, waves, and wa
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