trustme.bro/r/…
✓ checked
trust me, bro:
here is the receipt.
the claim
Hundred-year floods have finite statistical variance
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
4 sources for · 0 against

Hundred-year floods have finite statistical variance, as demonstrated by multiple studies calculating confidence intervals and uncertainty bounds for extreme flood return periods.

Evidence for · 4
Defining the hundred year flood: A Bayesian approach for using historic data to reduce uncertainty in flood frequency estimates
2016 · cited by 69
The paper employs a Bayesian model to quantify the uncertainty and confidence intervals of hundred-year flood estimates.
See more details
The analysis

Judged against the evidence record for claims of this kind.

More for · 3
Sensitivity of flood frequency analysis to data record, statistical model, and parameter estimation methods: An evaluation over the contiguous United States
2019 · cited by 67
The study evaluates the uncertainty and variance associated with estimating 100-year floods using varying data record lengths.
Assessing the effects of rating curve uncertainty in flood frequency analysis
2022 · cited by 4
The research examines the confidence intervals and finite-sample uncertainties of flood quantiles derived from flood frequency analysis.
Frequency Analysis and Uncertainty Assessment of Annual Maximum Flood Series Using Bayesian MCMC Method
2018 · cited by 1
The study uses Bayesian methods to calculate interval estimations and posterior distributions for flood quantiles under long return periods.
Everything we examined (4)
  1. Defining the hundred year flood: A Bayesian approach for using historic data to reduce uncertainty in flood frequency estimatespeer-reviewedsupports
  2. Sensitivity of flood frequency analysis to data record, statistical model, and parameter estimation methods: An evaluation over the contiguous United Statespeer-reviewedsupports
  3. Assessing the effects of rating curve uncertainty in flood frequency analysispeer-reviewedsupports
  4. Frequency Analysis and Uncertainty Assessment of Annual Maximum Flood Series Using Bayesian MCMC Methodpeer-reviewedsupports
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked05 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8605 Aug 2026
This receipt carries no identity, shared or not. Sharing publishes your connection to it, not your data.
Check your own claim
Challenge the receipt
trust me, bro: win the argument, pass the class, survive peer review.
This receipt is an automated verdict against our published method · not an opinion about any author or publication.
Terms · Privacy · How verdicts work · Dispute this receipt