Global population living below fifteen dollars a day has declined over recent decades
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 55/100
Extensive economic and demographic literature supports the overall historical decline in global extreme and low-income poverty over recent decades, despite recent temporary setbacks caused by global crises.
Evidence for · 2
Income Distribution, International Integration and Sustained Poverty Reduction
2020 · cited by 10
Paper 2 notes a sustained decline in the share of the population living below low-income poverty lines as part of standard development pathways.
Evidence against · 1
The impact of the global shocks on extreme poverty
2025 · cited by 1
Paper 10 notes that recent global shocks in 2020-2023 temporarily halted and reversed decades of continuous decline in extreme poverty numbers.
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More for · 1
Inequality within Countries is Falling: Underreporting-Robust Estimates of World Poverty, Inequality and the Global Distribution of Income
2024 · cited by 4
Paper 4 reconfirms that global poverty and inequality have declined dramatically between 1980 and 2019.