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the claim

Experimental economics demonstrates systematic violations of the expected utility model through paradoxes like Allais and Ellsberg

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
4 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Experimental economics and decision research consistently demonstrate that human choices systematically violate expected utility theory, robustly highlighted by classic anomalies like the Allais and Ellsberg paradoxes.

The analysis

The retrieved papers provide robust support for the claim. Multiple papers explicitly reference the Ellsberg paradox, ambiguity aversion, and the Allais paradox as empirical violations of expected utility theory. No papers refute the core premise that such violations are systematically observed in experimental economics.

Evidence for · 4
Recorded source metadata

Briony D. Pulford, Andrew M. Colman. Size Doesn't Really Matter. 2008. https://doi.org/10.1027/1618-3169.55.1.31

Paper 1 demonstrates that ambiguity aversion in urn tasks violates expected utility theory.

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More for · 3
Recorded source metadata

Bethany J. Weber, Wah Pheow Tan. Ambiguity aversion in a delay analogue of the Ellsberg Paradox. 2012. https://doi.org/10.1017/s1930297500002734

Paper 3 shows that ambiguity aversion, structurally identical to the Ellsberg paradox, extends beyond risk into intertemporal choice.

Recorded source metadata

Anaïs Osmont, Mathieu Cassotti. Development of ambiguity aversion from early adolescence to adulthood: New insights from the Ellsberg paradox. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1177/01650254221104056

Paper 5 confirms the robustness of ambiguity aversion across various developmental stages using adaptations of the Ellsberg paradox.

Recorded source metadata

Zilker V, Pachur T. Toward an attentional turn in research on risky choice.. 2022. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2022.953008

Paper 6 acknowledges that the Allais paradox and other phenomena represent seminal empirical deviations from neo-Bernoullian expected utility theory.

The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8501 Aug 2026
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