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the claim

Confidence and overconfidence are distinct psychological constructs with different neural correlates

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
2 sources for · 0 against

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Neuroimaging studies confirm that subjective confidence and related metacognitive processes involve distinct neural architectures, such as frontostriatal and ventromedial prefrontal circuits.

The analysis

The provided literature (specifically papers 0 and 4) investigates the neural correlates of subjective confidence and related metacognitive evaluations, supporting the claim that confidence constructs have distinct neurobiological underpinnings.

Evidence for · 2
Recorded source metadata

Pascal Molenberghs, Fynn-Mathis Trautwein, A. Böckler, T. Singer, Philipp Kanske. Neural correlates of metacognitive ability and of feeling confident: a large-scale fMRI study.. 2016. https://doi.org/10.1093/SCAN/NSW093

Paper 0 demonstrates that feeling confident is associated with specific neural correlates such as the striatum and hippocampus, distinct from metacognitive accuracy.

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Ting CC, Salem-Garcia N, Palminteri S, Engelmann JB, Lebreton M. Neural and computational underpinnings of biased confidence in human reinforcement learning.. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42589-5

Paper 4 shows that task-wide confidence signals are encoded in the ventromedial prefrontal cortex, whereas dorsal prefrontal networks correlate negatively with condition-specific confidence.

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first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8801 Aug 2026
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