trustme.bro/r/…
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the claim
Cognitive biases drive human optimism bias
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 91/100

Cognitive biases, particularly illusions of control and flawed risk perceptions, play a foundational role in driving human optimism bias and unrealistic positive expectations.

Evidence for · 3
It won't happen to me: Unrealistic optimism or illusion of control?
1993 · cited by 354
Paper 0 establishes that cognitive distortions such as the illusion of control directly drive optimistic misjudgments regarding personal outcomes.
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More for · 2
Managing students’ illusion of control in higher education: effect on unrealistic optimism and expectancy disconfirmation
2024 · cited by 6
Paper 4 shows that the illusion of control acts as a cognitive bias that positively drives unrealistic optimism in academic settings.
Perceived invulnerability in traffic: illusion of control, desire for control, risk perception, and traffic-locus of control.
2025 · cited by 1
Paper 10 demonstrates that cognitive factors like the illusion of control and locus of control drive perceived invulnerability and overconfidence.
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 9101 Aug 2026
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