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the claim
Assuming past lack of negative events guarantees future lack of negative events constitutes the gambler's fallacy.
the verdict
COMMON KNOWLEDGE
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refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
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Assuming past lack of negative events guarantees future lack of negative events constitutes the gambler's fallacy, which is a well-known cognitive bias where individuals mistakenly believe that independent random events are influenced by past occurrences.

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The analysis

The claim states a textbook definition of the gambler's fallacy, making it a matter of common knowledge and semantic definition rather than an empirical hypothesis requiring new citations.

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first checked04 Aug 2026
judged → COMMON KNOWLEDGE · 9504 Aug 2026
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