An identifiable ecological footprint and land area is required to support New York City.
the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
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Retrieved evidence outlines the methodology for calculating urban ecological footprints and provides per capita land consumption data for New York City, but does not fully quantify the specific ecological footprint required to support the city.
Urban growth reduces open space in and around cities, impacting biodiversity and ecosystem services. Using land-cover and population data, we examined land consumption and open space loss between 1990 and 2000 for all 274 metropolitan areas in the contiguous United States. Nationally, 1.4 million ha of open space was lost, and the amount lost in a given city was correlated with population growth (r(272) = 0.85, P<0.001). In 2000, cities varied in per capita land consumption by an order of magnitude, from 459 m2/person in New York to 5393 m2/person in Grand Forks, ND. The per capita land consum
Using land-cover and population data, we examined land consumption and open space loss between 1990 and 2000 for all 274 metropolitan areas in the contiguous United States. Nationally, 1.4 million ha of open space was lost, and the amount lost in a given city was correlated with population growth (r(272) = 0.85, P<0.001). In 2000, cities varied in per capita land consumption by an order of magnitude, from 459 m 2 /person in New York to 5393 m 2 /person in Grand Forks, ND. The per capita land consumption (m 2 /person) of most cities decreased on average over the decade from 1,564 to 1,454 m 2 /person, but there was substantial regional variation and some cities even increased.
Introduction Urban population in the United States has climbed dramatically in recent decades, from 84.5 million in 1950 to 226 million in 2000 [1] . At the same time, many of these new residents settled in suburbs farther from the city center at relatively low density [2] , resulting in a drastic expansion in urbanized area [3] , [4] . The expansion of urban area can have significant ecological impacts [5] – [7] . The amount of open space is reduced [8] , fragmenting natural habitat as well as reducing the recreational and other amenities people can enjoy from open space [9] – [11] .
Open space is defined here as agricultural land and more natural land-cover such as forest and grassland, including both remnant patches within a city as well as larger patches at the city's fringe. Rapid urban growth has raised public concern about the ecological and social impacts of “sprawl,” which has been defined as new settlements relatively far from city centers, as opposed to “densification,” which raises the density of already developed neighborhoods [2] . One manifestation of this concern is the rapid growth of ballot initiatives to authorize bonds to fund the protection of open space.
In this study we quantify the total amount of open space lost to development for US cities, as well as the developed area per capita, which we refer to as “per capita land consumption.” Moreover, most studies that have compared the density of development in different cities have used city-wide average, rather than tracking the full spectrum of development types within an urban area. Of particular interest is to what extent a small fraction of households consume large amounts of developed area while the rest of the population is concentrated in dense settlements that use much less land per capita.
We quantify land inequality using the Gini index (G), which varies from 0 (most equal) to 1 (most unequal). Measurement of this “land inequality” quantifies the heterogeneity of complex urban landscapes. Note that per capita land consumption and land inequality are independent quantities, and it is possible for a city with high per capita land consumption to have either low or high levels of land inequality. In this paper we measure the open space lost from urban growth in all 274 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the contiguous United States from 1990 to 2000 ( Figure 1 ).
We present our results in two steps, first discussing MSA-wide metrics that summarize some aspect of pattern into a single number for each MSA and then discussing fine-scale metrics that quantify variation in pattern within each MSA. Figure 1 Metropolitan areas examined in this study. For the largest metropolitan areas, the type of zoning scheme is shown (see text for details). Inset shows land-cover data for the Los Angeles area, with areas built up in 1990 (gray), areas of new development between 1990 and 2000 (red), and
Results MSA-Wide Analysis Most MSAs in the United States increased in population from 1990 to 2000 ( Figure 2A ), with the greatest increase in southern California, the New York MSA, and the Atlanta MSA. Cities in the “Rust Belt,” running from upstate New York through western Pennsylvania and to Ohio, lost population. Land-cover in 1990 varied greatly across the country ( Figure 2B ), with the Midwest dominated by agriculture and the West dominated by grassland/shrublands. In contrast, the eastern U.S. and the Pacific Northwest are dominated by forests, while wetlands occur at greatest extent in Florida and the Gulf coast.
The only significant contrast is between the “Reform” and “Traditional” zoning categories, with “Reform” cities slightly increasing in the proportion of houses in high-density neighborhoods while “Traditional” cities decreased. The change in proportion of houses in high density neighborhoods was not correlated with the median house value, the city size, or the degree of conservation funding. Land inequality Neighborhoods containing a relatively small proportion of urban residents at low density usurp most of the developed area in a city.
In our study, we have classified an entire MSA as one of the four categories, using the category of the majority of the urban area in the Pendall et al. study. For example, Pendall et al. classified most of the New York MSA as “Traditional,” but classified the New Jersey suburbs as “Exclusion.” In our study, the entire New York MSA is classified as “Traditional.” This reduces the number of MSAs in our study with a zoning category to 49. MSA-Wide Analysis All data was clipped to MSA boundaries and projected to an Albers Equal-Area projection. For each MSA we tabulated open space loss and population change.
liquidate our ecological assets. If we stay in overshoot, we will further increase our ecological debt, which … much power is consumed by land- area. The question is: how much land area do we consume to supply the … to their land area are Bahrain and South Korea (high consumption, but relative little land area). These
Ecological footprint
An ecological footprint measures how much people take from nature. The footprint is then compared to the amount of natural resources nature can renew. The ecological footprint takes into account how much farmland, grazing land, forest area, and sea area it takes to provide everything people use through carbon dioxide intake.[1] More simply, footprint calculations answer the questions: how much nature do we have? And how much do we use? When analyzing the world as a whole, humanity is using nature about 1.7 times faster than nature renews itself.[2] It is like using 1.7 planet Earths. Since people consume differently around the world, it is also possible to calculate how many planet it would take if everybody around the world consumed like a particular population. For instance, if everybody consumed like the Germans, it would take nearly 3 planet Earths. Expressed in area: The ecological footprint per world citizen is about 2.8 global average hectares per person while there are only 1.6 global hectare of biologically productive land and water per person on Earth.
The ecological footprint measures human demand on natural capital, i.e. the quantity of nature it takes to support people and their economies. It tracks human demand on nature through an ecological accounting system. The accounts contrast the biologically productive area people use to satisfy their consumption to the biologically productive area available within a region, nation, or the world (biocapacity). Biocapacity is the productive area that can regenerate what people demand from nature. Therefore, the metric is a measure of human impact on the environment. As Ecological Footprint accounts measure to what extent human activities operate within the means of our planet, they are a central metric for sustainability.
The metric is promoted by the Global Footprint Network which has developed standards to make results comparable. FoDaFo, supported by Global Footprint Network and York University are now providing the national assessments of Footprints and biocapacity.
Footprint and biocapacity can be compared at the individual, regional, national or global scale. Both footprint and demands on biocapacity change every year with number of people, per person consumption, efficiency of production, and productivity of ecosystems. At a global scale, footprint assessments show how big humanity's demand is compared to what Earth can renew. Global Footprint Network estimates that, as of 2022, humanity has been using natural capital 71% faster than Earth can renew it, which they describe as meaning humanity's ecological footprint corresponds to 1.71 planet Earths. This overuse is called ecological overshoot.
Ecological footprint analysis is widely used around the world in support of sustainability assessments. It enables people to measure and manage the use of resources throughout the economy and explore the
Ecological footprint accounting is built on the recognition that regenerative resources are the physically most limiting resources of all. Even fossil fuel use is far more limited by the amount of sequestration the biosphere can provide rather than by the amounts left underground. The same is true for ores and minerals, where the limiting factor is how much damage to the biosphere we are willing to accept to extract and concentrate those materials, rather than by how much of them is still left underground. Therefore, the focus of ecological footprint accounting is human competition for regenerative resources.
The amount of the planet's regeneration, including how many resources are renewed and how much waste the planet can absorb, is dubbed biocapacity. Ecological footprints therefore track how much biocapacity is needed to provide for all the inputs that human activities demand. It can be calculated at any scale: for an activity, a person, a community, a city, a region, a nation, or humanity as a whole.
Footprints can be split into consumption categories: food, housing, and goods and services. Or it can be organized by area types occupied: cropland, pasture, forests for forest products, forests for carbon sequestration, marine areas, etc.
When this approach is applied to an activity such as the manufacturing of a product or driving a car, it uses data from life-cycle analysis. Such applications translate the consumption of energy, biomass (food, fiber), building material, water and other resources into normalized land areas called global hectares (gha) needed to provide these inputs.
Since the Global Footprint Network's inception in 2003, it has calculated the ecological footprint from UN data sources for the world as a whole and for over 200 nations (known as the National Footprint and Biocapacity Accounts). This task has now been taken over by FoDaFo and York University. The total footprint number of Earths needed to sustain the world's population at that level of consumption are also calculated. Every year the calculations are updated to the latest year with complete UN statistics. The time series are also recalculated with every update, since UN statistics sometimes correct historical data sets. Results are available on an open data platform.
Lin et al. (2018) find that the trends for countries and the world have stayed consistent despite data updates. In addition, a recent study by the Swiss Ministry of Environment independently recalculated the Swiss trends and reproduced them within 1–4% for the time period that they studied (1996–2015). Since 2006, a first set of ecological footprint standards exist that detail both communication and calculation procedures. The latest version are the updated standards from 2009.
The ecological footprint accounting method at the national level is described on the website of the Global Footprint Network or in greater detail in academic papers, including Borucke et al.
The National Accounts Review Committee has published a research agenda on how to improve the accounts.
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