A specific term describes the discrepancy between reported intention to vote and actual voting behavior.
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 86/100
The discrepancy between reported intention to vote and actual voting behavior is widely recognized in political science and is primarily driven by social desirability bias, which leads to the overreporting of voter turnout.
Evidence for · 4
Validating Self-Reported Turnout by Linking Public Opinion Surveys with Administrative Records
2019 · cited by 58
Paper 0 discusses how self-reported turnout rates overestimate actual turnout due to bias, driven by overreporting.
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More for · 3
Mitigating the Effects of Social Desirability Bias in Self-Report Surveys
2020 · cited by 48
Paper 1 identifies social desirability bias (SDB) as a response bias that plagues self-report surveys.
Validating the “Genuine Pipeline” to Limit Social Desirability Bias in Survey Estimates of Voter Turnout
2024 · cited by 5
Paper 5 details how survey overreporting of voter turnout is driven by social desirability bias.
The Turnout Gap in Surveys: Explanations and Solutions.
2020 · cited by 2
Paper 9 examines how postelection surveys overestimate voter turnout by significant margins.