A single vote has historically decided the outcome of major political elections
the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
confidence 4/100
Political science literature establishes that due to the massive size of modern electorates, the mathematical probability of a single vote deciding a major election is exceedingly low.
Evidence against · 5
Epistemic Barriers to Rational Voting: The Case of European Parliament Elections
2020 · cited by 3
States that voting is often considered irrational because of the incredibly small likelihood that an individual voter's ballot will be pivotal.
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More against · 4
9. Votes, Elections, Legislatures, and Legislators
2017 · cited by 0
Notes that the huge number of citizens in any modern state means no individual's vote is likely to make the difference between choices.
12. Votes, Elections, Legislatures, and Legislators
2018 · cited by 0
Reiterates that in modern states with large electorates, an individual vote is extremely unlikely to change an election outcome.
11. Votes, Elections, Legislatures, and Legislators
2023 · cited by 0
Explains that the vast number of citizens in a modern state makes it improbable for any single vote to make a difference.
11. Votes, Elections, Legislatures, and Legislators
2020 · cited by 0
Affirms that the large size of modern electorates renders the probability of a single vote deciding an election vanishingly small.